10
Grand Joker
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |