8
Lodato
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |