9
Majestic Noir
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |