1
Rodhan
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/15
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |