2
Captain Eddie
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 86
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |