6
Kinetic Stone
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |