1
Maitre D
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 91% | -0.05 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |