Neophyte
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |