Rock To Fame
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-10-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 10/08/2024 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/09/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 13/10/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 01/11/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 05/12/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 01/02/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 16/03/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |