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Brighton View

3yo Colt · 9-13 · OR 73

Haydock · Betway Leigh Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#1

Rank

Odds

1/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning handicap debut at Newbury (1¼m) in May and confirmed himself as still on the upgrade when readily landing the odds in a 3-runner event at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to firm) 6 days ago. Will prove at least as effective at further but makes appeal to follow up under a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0945 @ Kempton 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 13315/1054 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS15/0445 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 69 · 1m2f Gd 134 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 69 par15/055OR 694 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m1f209y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 71 par12/064OR 714 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m2f43y GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 71 par9/074OR 715 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 73 · 1m3f104y GF 133 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 73 par2/085OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Yarmouth51st1st0
2026-07-09Doncaster42nd1st+1
2026-06-12Sandown412th11th+1
2026-05-15Newbury51st1st0
2026-04-15Southwell47th6th+1
2025-10-15Kempton55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0915/052/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
15/10/20255th7/163%67%+0.04
15/04/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
15/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
12/06/202612th17/255%0%-0.55
09/07/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
02/08/20261st1/297%100%+0.03