Lc Tiffen
3yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 52
Haydock · Betway Leigh Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#5
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 500/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |