Sea Scout
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 107
Haydock · Betway Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 2f 42y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Newbury | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2025-05-15 | York | 1 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/11/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/04/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/05/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 07/06/2025 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |