8

Blingy's Sister

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 91

Haydock · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made winning start at Chepstow (6f) and having contested Group 3s on her previous 2 outings, she ran a blinder on handicap debut to finish fourth of 30 in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot (good to firm). Close third back at Ascot next time and ran well upped to listed level in France 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 25/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f16y Gd 12825/0752 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 128C5 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 88 · 6f63y Yie 124 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 88 par14/09C5OR 881 @ Newmarket 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 87 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 87 par1 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 89 par18/041OR 892 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 30 · OR 88 · 1m GF 122 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m GF 133 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 88 par11/073OR 881 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 7f209y GS 128 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 89 par26/071OR 89projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan12nd2nd0
2026-07-11Ascot33rd6th2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot24th5th1
2026-04-18Newbury110th10th+0
2025-10-10Newmarket15th5th+0
2025-09-14Curragh?3rd7th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0710/1011/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
30/08/20252nd11/486%75%-0.11
14/09/20253rd2/189%87%-0.03
10/10/20255th22/10%56%+0.56
18/04/202610th9/153%31%-0.22
19/06/20264th80/10%90%+0.90
11/07/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
26/07/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04