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3

Yanifer

8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 91

Haydock · Betway Ashton Heath Handicap · 6f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made all in a good contest at Chester last August. Yet to hit top form in a pair of 7f handicaps at York this summer but dropped another 2 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 27/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 93 · 7f37y Hvy 141 · below its mark27/09/2024 · OR 93 par27/093OR 932 @ Chester 09/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 93 · 7f127y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 93 par2 @ Chester 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 92 · 7f1y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 92 par31/052OR 923 @ York 14/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 91 · 7f Goo 138 · beat its mark14/06/2025 · OR 91 par3 @ Doncaster 19/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 92 · 7f6y Goo 144 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 92 par19/073OR 922 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 7f127y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 92 par2 @ Ascot 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 96 · 7f Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 96 par4/102OR 963 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 142 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 95 par3 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 93 · 7f Goo 133 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 93 par10/073OR 93projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10York314th14th0
2026-06-13York312th12th0
2025-10-04Ascot29th8th+1
2025-08-30Chester21st0th+1
2025-07-19Doncaster32nd2nd0
2025-06-14York32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0914/064/1010/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20248th9/276%13%-0.64
09/05/20257th14/126%54%+0.28
31/05/20257th14/126%50%+0.24
14/06/20252nd14/126%92%+0.65
19/07/20252nd9/276%89%+0.13
30/08/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
04/10/20259th33/10%43%+0.43
13/06/202612th25/10%39%+0.39
10/07/202614th11/142%19%-0.23