4
Black Endeavour
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 69
Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Doncaster | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |