3

Comprador

3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 69

Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden for Ed Walker. Posted a good third at Wolverhampton (7f) on yard bow in May but tongue tied when only eleventh of 13 on turf debut at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f1y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS12/0144 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS24/0244 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS25/0344 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f1y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 73 par28/044OR 735 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 72 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 72 par29/055OR 724 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 71 · 7f6y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 71 par20/064OR 71projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Doncaster411th10th+1
2026-05-29Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2026-04-28Lingfield45th4th+1
2026-03-25Lingfield43rd2nd+1
2026-02-24Newcastle43rd2nd+1
2026-01-12Lingfield43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0124/0225/0328/0429/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
24/02/20263rd2/598%80%-0.18
25/03/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
28/04/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
29/05/20263rd40/10%80%+0.80
20/06/202611th80/10%17%+0.17