6
Crafty Blue
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 69
Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Newbury | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |