Flyta
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 69
Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 250/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |