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Galba

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 72

Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In good form without winning for Richard Hannon and made a positive start for new stable with second of 6 in handicap at Sandown (1m, good) 10 days ago, collared final strides. Can go well again despite 3 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f110y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/1044 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0443 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0535 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m31y GF 135 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par23/055OR 705 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 69 par12/065OR 695 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 69 par29/075OR 69projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Sandown52nd2nd0
2026-06-12Sandown53rd3rd0
2026-05-23Windsor56th6th0
2026-05-09Leicester33rd1st+2
2026-04-14Newmarket47th6th+1
2025-10-24Newbury43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1014/049/0523/0512/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
14/04/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
09/05/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71
23/05/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
12/06/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
29/07/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13