10

Horace Wallace

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 66

Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair 6f all-weather winner early in 2026 but below that level switched to turf at Hamilton and Ayr last 2 runs. Needs to take a step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Std 13320/1154 @ Wolverhampton 08/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/1244 @ Wolverhampton 02/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f20y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS2/0242 @ Lingfield 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 75 · 6f1y Std 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 75 par27/022OR 755 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 73 · 5f21y Std 133 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 73 par13/035OR 734 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 71 · 6f6y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 71 par17/054OR 715 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f50y Sft 133 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 68 par20/065OR 68projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Ayr54th4th0
2026-05-17Hamilton412th11th+1
2026-03-13Wolverhampton57th7th0
2026-02-27Lingfield28th4th+3
2026-02-02Wolverhampton41st0th+1
2025-12-08Wolverhampton43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1127/0220/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20255th7/491%33%-0.57
08/12/20253rd4/179%71%-0.08
02/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
27/02/20268th10/147%36%-0.11
13/03/20267th9/488%25%-0.63
17/05/202612th33/10%15%+0.15
20/06/20264th11/271%57%-0.14