2
Norcross Brow
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 72
Haydock · Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap · 6f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 16/5 | 83% | 38% | -0.46 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |