Cosi Bello
4yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 96
Haydock · Betway Capital City Handicap · 7f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | York | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Chester | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 81% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |