10
Lost Signal
3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 91
Haydock · Betway Capital City Handicap · 7f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Salisbury | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |