4

Star Anthem

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 92

Haydock · Betway Capital City Handicap · 7f 212y

#13

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful but remains with only a maiden win to his name and following a breathing operation/6 months off, he finished well held in the Victoria Cup at Ascot in May. Back from another break here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2024 · Pos 8th of 22 · OR - · 6f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS18/0611 @ Newbury 21/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 99 · 6f Hvy 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2024 · OR 99 par1 @ Newbury 26/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 99 · 7f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 99 par26/101OR 992 @ Ascot 09/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 103 · 7f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2025 · OR 103 par2 @ Goodwood 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 101 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 101 par24/052OR 1012 @ Chester 14/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 99 · 7f127y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2025 · OR 99 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 98 · 1m Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 98 par5/092OR 983 @ Newbury 20/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 96 · 7f Goo 138 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 96 par2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 27th of 28 · OR 94 · 7f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 94 par9/052OR 94projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09Ascot227th26th+1
2025-09-20Newbury38th8th0
2025-09-05Ascot212th11th+1
2025-06-14Chester23rd2nd+1
2025-05-24Goodwood29th8th+1
2025-05-09Ascot27th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/069/055/099/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20248th28/10%67%+0.67
21/09/20244th7/163%40%-0.23
26/10/20243rd16/116%71%+0.56
09/05/20257th16/116%33%+0.18
24/05/20259th28/10%38%+0.38
14/06/20253rd7/282%71%-0.10
05/09/202512th25/10%31%+0.31
20/09/20258th20/10%30%+0.30
09/05/202627th66/10%4%+0.04