Triple Double A
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Haydock · Betway Capital City Handicap · 7f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 29/06/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 18/5 | 81% | 25% | -0.56 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |