2

Witch Hunter

7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 95

Haydock · Betway Capital City Handicap · 7f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to winning ways in calmer waters in 11-runner handicap at Thirsk (1m, good) 7 days ago. Not out of things despite a 2 lb rise in his bid for a third victory of 2026.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newcastle 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 101 · 1m5y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 101 par16/012OR 1011 @ Southwell 07/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 105 · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 105 par1 @ Wolverhampton 07/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 105 · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 105 par7/031OR 1052 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 104 · 1m5y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 104 par2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 20th of 28 · OR 103 · 7f Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 103 par9/052OR 1032 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 102 · 1m Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 19th of 28 · OR 98 · 1m GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 98 par17/062OR 982 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 96 · 7f14y Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Thirsk 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 93 · 7f218y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 93 par1/082OR 93projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Thirsk21st0th+1
2026-06-27Newcastle211th10th+1
2026-06-17Royal Ascot219th18th+1
2026-05-16Newbury215th14th+1
2026-05-09Ascot220th19th+1
2026-04-03Newcastle29th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/013/0417/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
07/02/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
07/03/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
03/04/20269th18/15%38%+0.33
09/05/202620th40/10%30%+0.30
16/05/202615th40/10%0%0.00
17/06/202619th80/10%33%+0.33
27/06/202611th11/142%23%-0.19
01/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63