8
Golden Mabel
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 54
Haydock · Betway Apprentice Handicap · 7f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 400/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |