3
Phantom Watch
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 75
Haydock · Betway Apprentice Handicap · 7f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 02/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 83% | -0.13 |