5
Sandy Craic
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 71
Haydock · Betway Apprentice Handicap · 7f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.53 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |