1
Suggy
3yo Colt · 10-2 · OR 79
Haydock · Betway Apprentice Handicap · 7f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bath | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/09/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |