7
Sunshine And Roses
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 60
Haydock · Betway Apprentice Handicap · 7f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 6 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 19/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |