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2

Calamint

6yo Mare · 11-5

Kilbeggan · Well Of Moate Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

A modest 1m winner on the Flat (stays 1¼m) who was unlucky not to finish closer when third of 14 at Ballinrobe on most recent outing in May. Hooded for hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA53 @ Naas 29/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 53 · 1m Yie 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/04/2024 · OR 53 par29/0453OR 53BHA65 @ Roscommon 20/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 65 · 7f86y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2024 · OR 65 parBHA60 @ Curragh 16/08/2025 · Pos 19th of 21 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 60 par16/0860OR 60BHA57 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 57 · 1m4f46y Sft 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 57 parC7 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 56 par29/10C7OR 56BHA53 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m4f Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 53 parBHA50 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 50 · 1m2f Hvy 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 50 par30/0350OR 50BHA51 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 51 · 1m3f190y Yie 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f133y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 51 par8/0551OR 51projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA513rd0th+3
2026-04-25LimerickBHA518th5th+3
2026-03-30NavanBHA502nd-2th+3
2025-11-14DundalkBHA536th3rd+3
2025-10-29Dundalk?7th5th+2
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA574th1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0413/1030/038/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20241st33/10%100%+1.00
20/05/20243rd13/266%86%+0.20
16/08/202519th14/126%10%-0.16
13/10/20254th28/10%80%+0.80
29/10/20257th20/10%54%+0.54
14/11/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
30/03/20262nd4/179%92%+0.13
25/04/20268th11/486%53%-0.32
08/05/20263rd15/261%85%+0.24