5
Facile Ocean
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 106
Kilbeggan · Well Of Moate Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
85/40
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ballinrobe | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 11/04/2025 | 14th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.47 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |