11

Rose Mountain

6yo Mare · 10-11

Kilbeggan · Well Of Moate Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#10

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Timeform

Commentary

Showed nothing in a pair of bumpers and pulled up on Listowel hurdling debut after 15 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 14.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 21/12/2024 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 2m15y Gd 16521/12C?C0 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 1653/03C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Listowel?0
2025-03-03Leopardstown?12th12th0
2024-12-21Thurles?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/123/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/202416th40/10%12%+0.12
03/03/202512th125/10%15%+0.15