7

Through The Storm

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Kilbeggan · Well Of Moate Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not bred for jumping and bumper efforts in 2024/25 were hardly brimming with promise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength28%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hereford 21/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m53y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS21/125C0 @ Naas 05/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m Hvy 1645/01C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-01-05Naas?6th6th0
2024-12-21Hereford54th0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/125/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20244th11/142%73%+0.31
05/01/20256th12/137%38%+0.01