13
Ardgillan
6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80
Kilbeggan · Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#13
Rank
Odds
250/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Navan | ? | 22th | 22th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/11/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/12/2025 | 22nd | 250/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |