9
Corkbeg
9yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 84
Kilbeggan · Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | BHA88 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | BHA89 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Wexford | BHA87 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Wexford | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Killarney | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2024 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 19/10/2024 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 06/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 12/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |