12
Kinski
7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Kilbeggan · Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#12
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | Ballinrobe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-08-06 | Roscommon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-07-18 | Killarney | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Ballinrobe | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-03-21 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2024 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 19/04/2024 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/07/2024 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 06/08/2024 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/08/2024 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |