5
Walk Win
4yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 94
Kilbeggan · Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA93 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA94 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA94 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |