8
Zaryagle
5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86
Kilbeggan · Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#14
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA86 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | BHA91 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | BHA94 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Tramore | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-07 | Roscommon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/07/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/08/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |