6

Cooladdi

6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102

Kilbeggan · Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked to be in the process of showing improved form when departing in maiden hurdle (4/1) at Roscommon (21f, good) 33 days ago, fell 2 out when looking sure to be placed. Leading chance if none the worse for that tumble.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 06/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1686/06C?C8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m4f125y Gd 1587/07C8C8 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f97y Hvy 1582/12C8C8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 16620/12C8BHA102 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 102 · 2m1f165y Gd 158 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 102 par13/06102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Roscommon?0
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA1027th10th2
2025-12-20Thurles?6th6th0
2025-12-02Clonmel?7th7th0
2025-07-07Roscommon?2nd2nd0
2025-06-06Clonmel?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/067/072/1220/1213/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20253rd17/255%78%+0.23
07/07/20252nd7/282%92%+0.11
02/12/20257th18/15%65%+0.59
20/12/20256th10/147%58%+0.11
13/06/20267th6/168%40%-0.28