10

Mahler's Best

6yo Mare · 10-11

Kilbeggan · Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in a pair of maiden hurdles for Gordon Elliott. Off 16 months.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 08/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 2m30y Sft 1618/03C8C8 @ Naas 03/04/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR - · 2m Goo 1613/04C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-04-03Naas?17th17th0
2025-03-08Gowran Park?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/033/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/03/20259th14/126%53%+0.27
03/04/202517th66/10%16%+0.16