8
Mont Star
4yo Gelding · 11-1
Kilbeggan · Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 42% | -0.40 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |