2
Olympic Man
9yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 130
Kilbeggan · Joe Cooney Memorial Hurdle · 3m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | BHA132 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Leopardstown | BHA134 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-23 | Punchestown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 18/01/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 09/03/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/04/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |