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6yo Gelding · 10-12

Kilbeggan · Joe Cooney Memorial Hurdle · 3m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Elusive Pimpernel gelding who showed ability when finishing in the frame in 14-runner bumper at Kilbeggan (2m) on debut in June but failed to convince with his attitude when only sixth of 10 at Downpatrick since. Makes hurdles debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f200y Gd 16815/06C?C0 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f165y Gd 16814/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Downpatrick?6th6th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20264th22/10%77%+0.77
14/07/20266th9/153%44%-0.08