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Rocky's Diamond

6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 148

Kilbeggan · Joe Cooney Memorial Hurdle · 3m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quickly made up into a smart hurdler in 2024/25, winning the Galmoy before a good fourth in the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in 2025. Disappointing over fences after a winning debut in that sphere, increasingly looking a hard ride, so needs to benefit from return to hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Gowran Park 23/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 145 · 3m70y Sft 157 · beat its mark23/01/2025 · OR 145 par23/011OR 1451 @ Cheltenham 13/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 151 · 2m7f213y GS 164 · below its mark13/03/2025 · OR 151 par1 @ Punchestown 01/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 154 · 2m7f110y Yie 164 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 154 par1/051OR 154C0 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m2f54y Goo 1661 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m7f Goo 14927/1011 @ Punchestown 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 150 · 3m51y Sft 157 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 150 par1 @ Leopardstown 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 154 · 2m7f80y Goo 164 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 154 par28/121OR 1541 @ Gowran Park 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 153 · 2m7f110y Hvy 162 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 153 parBHA145 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 145 · 3m1f24y Sft 171 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 145 par8/06145OR 145projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Galway10
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA14512th12th0
2026-01-22Gowran Park16th6th0
2025-12-28Leopardstown16th6th0
2025-11-22Punchestown14th4th0
2025-10-27Wexford12nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/018/0928/128/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
13/03/20254th28/10%75%+0.75
01/05/202510th8/158%10%-0.48
08/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
27/10/20252nd1/195%67%-0.28
22/11/20254th15/890%25%-0.65
28/12/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
22/01/20266th11/486%0%-0.86
08/06/202612th8/158%21%-0.36