1

Kings Jet

6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 107

Kilbeggan · Smiddys Pub Mullingar Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 50y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Surprise winner on Rules debut in maiden hunter at Down Royal in May but no form under Rules since, dropping away tamely when eleventh of 18 in handicap chase (9/1) at Galway (23f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m7f50y Gd 1685/05C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 3m55y Hvy 16321/11C?BHA110 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 110 · 2m6f111y Goo 166 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 110 par2/08110OR 110projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02GalwayBHA11011th11th0
2026-07-03WexfordBHA1130
2026-03-13Cheltenham20
2025-11-21Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2025-05-30Stratford20
2025-05-05Down Royal?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0521/112/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20251st18/15%100%+0.95
21/11/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
02/08/202611th9/153%41%-0.11