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3

A Law Of Her Own

9yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 123

Kilbeggan · KEPAK Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 40y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Signed off for Peter Fahey with victory over hurdles at Punchestown in October. Tongue strap on, badly hampered and unseated rider 1st in handicap chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Remains very much one to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Roscommon 30/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m147y Sft 14830/0911 @ Clonmel 07/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m4f171y Goo 1441 @ Cork 08/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 123 · 2m160y Yie 153 · below its mark08/12/2024 · OR 123 par8/121OR 123BHA121 @ Thurles 15/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 121 · 2m2f17y Goo 161 · beat its mark15/03/2025 · OR 121 par1 @ Punchestown 01/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 23 · OR 125 · 2m75y Yie 145 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 125 par1/051OR 125BHA125 @ Limerick 22/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 125 · 2m3f176y Goo 156 · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 125 parBHA116 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 116 · 2m175y Gd 149 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 116 par2/08116OR 116BHA116 @ Listowel 27/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 116 · 2m4f Goo 150 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 116 parBHA115 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 115 · 2m95y Goo 166 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 115 par15/10115OR 115projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31GalwayBHA1230
2025-10-15PunchestownBHA1151st1st0
2025-09-27ListowelBHA1169th9th0
2025-08-02GalwayBHA1166th6th0
2025-06-09Roscommon?0
2025-05-22LimerickBHA1253rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0915/032/0815/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20242nd16/116%80%+0.64
07/11/20243rd9/153%67%+0.14
08/12/20245th16/116%43%+0.27
15/03/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
01/05/202513th20/10%45%+0.45
22/05/20253rd11/1094%0%-0.94
02/08/20256th20/10%64%+0.64
27/09/20259th10/147%11%-0.36
15/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39