7
Ceanndana
9yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 116
Kilbeggan · KEPAK Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 40y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA118 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | BHA116 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Punchestown | BHA113 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Market Rasen | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Tipperary | BHA114 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Cheltenham | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/08/2024 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 90% | -0.04 |
| 02/10/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/10/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.03 |
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 94% | +0.78 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |