1
Jasko Des Dames
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 130
Kilbeggan · KEPAK Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 40y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA132 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Cheltenham | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Listowel | BHA129 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 12/03/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 01/05/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 02/02/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |